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If Huckabee’s Reported PAC Closure Means He’s Out Then The 40% Palin/Huck Poll Support has Only One Place To Go

Posted by M.Joseph Sheppard At Palin4President2016 on February 9, 2011

Race For 2012 website reports Huckabee For President Inc. has filed termination papers with the FEC. If this means, which is one of two possibilities, that he will not run in 2012, then there are significant implications for Sarah Palin. Given his renewed Fox contract and his building a huge home in Florida whilst having paid off his last campaign debts, there seems a strong possibility he will not run.

Where does this leave the GOP “12 race?

As I have presented previously, the combined Palin/Huckabee polling amongst Republicans across the country and in many individual states gives a return of between 33%-40%.

Sometimes Huckabee leads and sometimes Palin does .The main point is however that, in general, their combined results are up to twice that of the nearest competitor-Mitt Romney.

Further polling analysis shows that the second choice of the majority of Huckabee’s supporters is, as would be expected, Sarah Palin. Thus, if that holds true for Iowa and South Carolina then, should she choose to run, Palin should win both states easily. If there is a credible leftist challenger to Romney in New Hampshire then on a split vote Palin might come through the middle.

If that was the case then even before South Carolina she would be unstoppable. In any scenario shown so far the main point is that the rank and file want a conservative candidate. If Huckabee is out of the running then that can only be Palin.

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