The presidential race is chugging along and we have our GOP candidates, right? Wrong! The ups and downs of the GOP front-runners has been turbulent like an airplane in a storm. Some hint that it’s the strengths of the candidates whereas others suggest it’s strictly the weakness of Romney. Whatever the case, the front-runner switch-a-roo has led many to speculate a brokered convention.
A brokered convention takes place when a candidate doesn’t win enough delegates during the primary and caucus period to have a pre-existing majority, during the first official vote for a political party’s presidential candidate at its nominating convention.
The last time a brokered convention took place was in 1948 when Thomas Dewey was chosen as the Republican nominee and in 1932, Franklin Delano Roosevelt, a Democrat, was the last brokered convention nominee to actually win the presidency.
Wednesday on Fox News, Eric Bolling interviewed Sarah Palin about the possibility of a brokered convention in Tampa, Florida in August and asked if she’d be interested in jumping in the race.
Palin said, “Well for one, I think it could get to that. And if it had to be kind of closed up today, the whole nominating process…then we would be looking at a brokered convention. Nobody is quite there yet.” Palin then added, “So I think that months from now if that’s the case, then all bets are off as to who it will be willing to offer themselves up in the name of service to their country. I would do whatever I could to help.”
So is a brokered convention likely? Many speculate no. We’re four contests in that have already awarded delegates, some fear it will likely hurt the Republican party in the end, handing the election to Obama; brokered conventions are expensive; and chances are, the current crop might refuse to back down.
However, many experts are saying a brokered convention could happen. Let’s face it, things have taken a sharp turn since South Carolina. Romney supporters are scarce, he’s been trounced by Gingrich and now Santorum has stepped to the plate to steal much of the spotlight. If Mitt Romney loses the GOP primary in his native state of Michigan on February 28 to Rick Santorum, a brokered convention might be a sure deal after all.
And what are Palin’s chances? Remember, the former Governor stated in September on Fox News’ Hannity that this would be an unconventional election cycle. “I do think, Sean, this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle. Because this has been such an unconventional administration that we are fighting so hard and so committed to replacing. It’s not just the administration but it’s the Senate, those who have followed like sheep behind President Obama and allowed him to do what he has done in terms of harm to our economy…Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process.”
A brokered convention would fit into that unconventional cycle and the media would have a frenzy with it. Just think of the drama, the front covers devoted to the Republican race, and every channel delving into the possibility of Sarah Palin or Jeb Bush getting into the game. Some are concerned that a brokered candidate would not have enough time to propel themselves to the level to go head-to-head with the Obama machine and campaign budget. However, it’s not impossible for a candidate to craft a ground game, hire a campaign staff, raise money and get their name out there in two months. In fact, some already have their name out there such as Palin. She roused conservatives at CPAC, proving she hasn’t faded from the political scene as many would like to suggest. And perhaps it could be a game plan by the Republicans to throw off the democrats and the media. Two months would give the democrats and the media less time to attack the Republican candidate.
Only time will tell if a brokered convention takes place and which candidate could emerge on top, but Palin told Bolling, “I cannot predict what will happen in the future, but I know that I have got the fire in my belly to try to help, to try to make a difference and if that involves running for public office at some point in the future, I’m game for that.”
As published on Examiner.com
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